Friday, December 4, 2015

A Helpful Guide to Fence Sitters: Who to Vote for President in the 2016 Elections

In certain political systems, it is of utmost importance to consider who would serve as the State’s top political leader as the position entails incredible power and responsibility. Chief executives can greatly influence legislation considered by Congress, becoming the principal source of policy initiative. In the Philippines, not only is the President vested with executive power by virtue of Article VI, Section 1 of the 1987 Constitution, but he also has, according to the Court in Marcos v. Manglapus, “unstated residual powers”.

It is prudent, therefore, for a voter to consider the qualities of the candidates aspiring for the coveted position. Prof. Fred Greenstein of Princeton University in his article The Qualities of Effective Presidents: An Overview from FDR to Bill Clinton, identifies six attributes that affects presidential job performance— (1) effectiveness as a public communicator, (2) organizational capacity, (3) political skill, (4) policy vision, (5) cognitive style, and (6) emotional intelligence. For the purposes of this article, this writer shall borrow Prof. Greenstein’s indicators as standards to which to hold the presidential candidates up against.

Being able to effectively address one’s constituents gives one the ability to command public attention and shape national agenda. Of the four candidates (Binay, Duterte, Roxas, and Santiago; Poe is excluded in this article due to her disqualification), Santiago is the most charismatic. Her quick wit, logic, and aggressive manner, coupled with hugot pick-up lines makes for a perfect mix that appeals to both the masses and the intellectual elite. Meanwhile, Binay has elicited repulsion and several face-palms with his apparent unfamiliarity with the adage “Think before you speak.” Binay has gone viral during one forum at the University of the Philippines, earning himself memes with his quotes like, “Hindi ko alam yan, pero ok yan.” On the other hand, Roxas’s disconnect with the masses will make it difficult for him to garner support. His trying to be “Mr. Palengke” appears to be forced and not genuine. In contrast to Roxas’ desire to be liked, Duterte takes the opposite route with no holds barred— he discloses his unpopular support for the death penalty, his adulterous social life, his incessant cursing. This has garnered mixed reactions of disgust at his lack of tact, and admiration at his unrestricted honesty. To one who finds the traditional politician’s spiel of painting themselves as saints, this move by Duterte is very refreshing.

On organizational capacity or the “ability to forge a team and get the most out of it” (Greenstein 2000), Santiago and Roxas have experience dealing with the different branches of government. Santiago was an RTC judge, an immigration and deportation commissioner, and senator. Roxas, also a senator, had been Secretary for the Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) and the Department of Trade and Industry. On the other hand, Duterte and Binay boast their success with their respective local governments, both having served as mayor.

In a CNN interview with former president Fidel Ramos, Ramos said the president must have strong international and domestic networks. This would allow him to negotiate policies, and bring warring factions together. Duterte seems to have the upperhand in this area. With his connections to rebel groups, such as the NPA, Duterte may be able to bring the government and the rebels to an agreement. Political skill is being able to “use the powers of his office assertively, build and maintain public support, and establish a reputation among fellow policy makers as a skilled, determined political operator.” (Greenstein quoting Neustadt’s Presidential Power).

To this writer, policy vision is what separates the boys from the men.  Greenstein defines vision as not only the capacity to inspire, but also the “extent to which the president holds policy views that inform his actions”. This is crucial as it ensures that policies are consistent with one another and that they do not cancel each other out. It also provides a sense of direction to the country. Among the candidates, Duterte has the clearest policy vision— move the country towards federalism, enhance the capacities of local government units, and stomp out corruption, drug trafficking, and criminality through strict implementation of government programs. By strengthening the basic units of the State, it creates a ripple effect to the entire country’s development. Roxas’s platform of the continuation of the Daang Matuwid is insufficient as the current system seems to prove inefficient. Binay’s promise of replicating his work in Makati to the entire archipelago is tainted with distrust considering the dire corruption allegations against him. Although Santiago’s crusade against eradicating corruption and creating transparency is laudable, this writer has yet to hear concrete proposals.

As to cognitive style and emotional intelligence, the candidates have their strengths and weaknesses. Santiago may be brilliant, but she could be vindictive and temperamental, which could easily cloud her judgment. Examining Duterte’s response to the traffic problem in Manila reveals that he looks for tangible and long-term answers. Admittedly, he may be crass and vulgar, but one’s less-than-pleasant personality should not become the ultimate yardstick for one’s capability. Although the band-aid solutions done by the present administration may not be attributable to Roxas, such conduct is an indicator of the course of action that he might take should he be elected as president. As to Binay, well, the writer believes the said candidate does not warrant any further discussion.

 To end with, after a careful weighing of the standards put forward at the beginning of this article, disregarding other factors (e.g. potential human rights violations), this writer considers Duterte as the most suitable candidate should the Philippines want an iron hand, and a catalyst for effective change. Afterall, in order to make waves, one must not be afraid to rock the boat. 

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